Macro
July CPI Wednesday: Fed's September Decision Hinges on It
Three Fed hawks wanted a July hike. Wednesday's July CPI at 8:30 a.m. ET is the single data point that decides whether they get their way in September.
Aug 10, 2026
Archive
1058 articles
Macro
Yield Curve Steepens to 44bps: What It's Pricing Now
The 10-year Treasury at 4.69% vs. the 2-year at 4.25% marks a 44bp positive spread — a steepening that signals higher-for-longer risk, not rate cuts.
Aug 10, 2026
Markets
S&P 500 Hits All-Time High as Soft Jobs Data Fuels Rally
S&P 500 futures up 0.60% to 7,777 Monday as July's surprise job loss of 23,000 shifts Fed rate expectations and lifts equities to record highs.
Aug 10, 2026
Markets
Beware the Hormuz Trade: Oil's Calm Masks a Spike Risk
WTI crude at $78.08 despite a closed Strait of Hormuz. Iran standoff, Trump's "semi-negotiating" comment, and Brent's $8 drop signal dangerous complacency.
Aug 10, 2026
ETFs
Chips Get Cut: SOXX Drops $1.16B in One Session
Semiconductor ETFs SOXX and SMH shed $1.56 billion in a single session as investors rotate into broad S&P 500 funds — here's what the flow data signals.
Aug 10, 2026
ETFs
ETF Launches Hit 1,084 — and the Shakeout Has Begun
Over 1,000 ETFs launched in 2026's first half, a quarter of them leveraged single-stock funds. History says 400 will close by 2031 — here's how to trade around it.
Aug 10, 2026
Stocks
Barrick Mining Q2: 74% EPS Jump, $1.2B Buyback
Barrick Mining (GOLD) crushed Q2 estimates with adjusted EPS up 74% YoY and $1.2B in buybacks. Here's what traders need to watch next.
Aug 10, 2026
Stocks
Cisco and Applied Materials Earnings: What's at Stake
Cisco reports Wednesday with EPS seen +18% YoY; Applied Materials follows Thursday. AI infrastructure demand and Singapore capacity are the key variables.
Aug 10, 2026
Crypto
Bitcoin Holds $65K: ETF Inflows Hit Best Week Since April
Bitcoin consolidates at $64,896 as spot ETF inflows top $754M — best week since April. Key levels, whale data, and the CLARITY Act delay explained.
Aug 10, 2026
Crypto
CLARITY Act Dead Until Fall: What It Costs Crypto Now
Senate skips CLARITY Act vote before recess, pushing crypto's biggest regulatory catalyst to September at earliest. Kalshi odds drop to 20%.
Aug 10, 2026
AI & Tech
CoreWeave Q2 Earnings: $99B Backlog on the Line
CoreWeave reports Q2 Tuesday after close. With shares down 44% from highs and a $99.4B backlog at stake, this is the week's binary trade.
Aug 10, 2026
AI & Tech
AMD, Intel, SOXX: Last Week's Chip Rally Explained
AMD surged 8% on 57% data center growth, Intel squeezed 10% higher, and SOXX jumped 6% in a session. Here's what it means ahead of AMAT Thursday.
Aug 10, 2026
ETFs
QQQ Pulls $4.95B in One Day as SGOV Bleeds Cash
QQQ absorbed $4.95 billion in a single session while SGOV shed $851 million — the clearest risk-on rotation signal of 2026.
Aug 7, 2026
ETFs
SOXX's Wild Ride: $5.4B In, $971M Out in Weeks
iShares Semiconductor ETF swung from a $5.43B single-day inflow to $971M in redemptions within weeks — the most volatile sector rotation trade of 2026.
Aug 7, 2026
Markets
Fed Hike Odds Hit 63% as Jobs Report Lands
Markets brace for July jobs data as CME FedWatch prices a 63% chance of a September Fed hike — the single biggest threat to equities right now.
Aug 7, 2026
Markets
AppLovin Crashes 19%, Cloudflare Surges 16% on Earnings
AppLovin sank 19.3% on a revenue miss while Cloudflare exploded 16% higher — Friday's earnings divergence is the starkest single-session split of the quarter.
Aug 7, 2026
Stocks
VST Earnings: Vistra Reports Q2 With 6.4% Move Priced In
Vistra Corp reports Q2 2026 before the open today. Options price a 6.4% move as VST enters with back-to-back 30%-plus EPS beats and a Fitch upgrade.
Aug 7, 2026
Stocks
SPCX: 911 Million Shares Unlock as Lock-Up Expires
SpaceX lock-up expiry frees 911 million shares Friday. SPCX is down 13.6% since its Q2 blowout as the market digests $18.4B in quarterly capex.
Aug 7, 2026
Macro
July Jobs Report: 83K Consensus, Everything Rides on 8:30
July nonfarm payrolls hit at 8:30 AM ET with an 83K consensus. A miss could kill September hike odds; a beat validates the Fed's three dissenters.
Aug 7, 2026
Macro
Fed's 9-3 Split: What the Most Divided Vote Since 2016 Means
Three FOMC dissenters wanted a hike on July 29. With 10-year yields at 4.63% and CPI at 3.5%, the September meeting is now a live event.
Aug 7, 2026
AI & Tech
AMD Drops 9% on Weak Guidance Despite Q2 Beat
AMD falls 9% premarket after Q2 revenue beat fails to impress Wall Street. Guidance disappoints as SpaceX's Nvidia-only chip strategy adds pressure.
Aug 7, 2026
AI & Tech
TSMC Raises CapEx to $64B as AI Demand Outstrips Supply
TSMC boosts 2026 CapEx to $64B as CEO warns chip supply is "far from enough." New packaging tech threatens Intel's EMIB moat. Key data for chip investors.
Aug 7, 2026
Crypto
Bitcoin Stalls at $64,300 as CLARITY Act Slips to September
Bitcoin holds $64,300 with $65K resistance intact as CLARITY Act delays to September and today's NFP print looms as the next binary catalyst.
Aug 7, 2026
Crypto
XRP Drops 2% as CLARITY Act Delay Kills Bull Case
XRP falls to $1.02 as Senate delays CLARITY Act to September, Polymarket odds collapse to 30%, and open interest drops signal position unwinding.
Aug 7, 2026